LIVEROCKET Week 11 Performance – Down (1.05%)
Week 11 Performance – Down (1.05%)
Performance to Date (since inception Nov 3rd)
(Nov 3rd - Dow closed 10522, S&P closed 1219)
Broader market gain: 1.4% Dow, 3.4% S&P, 3.6% NASDAQ
LIVEROCKET gain: 18%
Performance Year to Date - Up 7.7%
(Dec 30th close- 10717 Dow, 1248 S&P, 2205 NASDAQ. LIVEROCKET VALUE $109,015)
Broader market gain: -0.5% Dow, 1% S&P, 2% NASDAQ
LIVEROCKET gain: 7.7%
Stock Performance Overview
(Note - does not include today's purchases)
Stock Growth >30% 1 out of 17
Stock growth >20% 3 out of 17
Stock Growth >10% 5 out of 17
Stock Growth 5%~10% 3 out of 17
Stock growth 0%~5% 3 out of 17
Stock growth <0%>
Week 11 Performance
Broader market gain/loss: -2.67% Dow (10667), -2.02% S&P (1261)
LIVEROCKET gain/loss: -1.05%
Stocks up for week: 2 out of 9
Weekly Performance Overview
LIVEROCKET beat Dow/S&P: 8 out of 11 weeks
Dow/S&P beat LIVEROCKET: 2 out of 11 weeks
LIVEROCKET tied Dow/S&P: 1 out of 11 weeks
Individual Investor Performance
Excluding today's buys, if you invested in these stocks and got in and out when I said, then you would have:
Generated >10%+ Returns in 11 weeks 53% OF THE TIME
Generated >20%+ Returns in 10 weeks 24% OF THE TIME
Made money 88% OF THE TIME
WEEK IN REVIEW
Who wasn’t a casualty Friday? Last week on the 12th I predicted “Oil prices to zip up.” I also said that, as a result, “stocks [will] show volatility and swing 3% in a day.” Well, they did. And then some. Although ‘only’ a 2% one-day drop, the DOW has actually fallen 4% in 2 weeks, erasing the gains. But here’s the point – the market showed a lot of resilience in the face of surging oil prices. It dropped 4% against a 12%+ oil price increase.
Focus on NASDAQ – tech stocks are up whereas DOW is flat for the last 12 months.
Also, JBLU and WFMI showed remarkable resilience. JBLU is especially intriguing. They should have dropped precipitously in the face of surging prices. But they dropped the same % as everyone else. The only thing keeping me from jumping in again is greedy desires of buying them closer to $12. I did this with GILD when I waited for them to hit $49 – I missed out on their subsequent ~17% growth because I wouldn’t spend the extra $1.
(Note: OPP = Original Purchase Price)
Seagate (STX): OPP 20.1, Friday close 25. Up 3.2% this week. Up 24%+ since purchase. Earnings were released and they were phenomenal. Sales up 24% and Earnings up 99%. More importantly, as I predicted last week, they are showing pricing strength: margins were up from 20% last year to 25% this year. THAT IS HUGE. They were probably the only company to release earnings that actually went up after.
Marvell Technology (MRVL): OPP 49, Friday close 62.4. Down 2.5% this week. Erased last week’s gains. Up 27% since purchase.
Sandisk v1.0 (SNDK): OPP 64.4, Stopped out at $71. We netted a 10.2% gain in just 2 weeks. This is v.1 because we bought back in
Akamai (AKAM): OPP 19.98, Friday close 22.7. Down 0.4% for the week. Up 14.2% since purchase. It keeps toying with $24 before easing up. Erased last week’s gains.
McDermott (MDR): OPP 42.7, Friday close 49.3. Down 0.9% for the week. Up 15.4% since purchase. MDR gave up very little ground, a good omen I hope.
Joy Global (JOYG): OPP 37.17, Friday close 45.11. Down 2.9% this week. Up 21.4% since purchase. Basically erased last week’s gains
JLG Industries (JLG): OPP 38, Friday close 50. Flat for the week. Up 32% since purchase.
Gilead (GILD): OPP 50, Friday close 57.6. Down ~3% this week. Basically erases last week’s gain. Up 15% since purchase.
NEW PURCHASES TODAY
Sandisk v2.0 (SNDK): OPP 70.02, Friday close $68.4. Down ~2.3% this week. Down 2.3% since purchase. After watching the carnage on Wall Street I thought the market would bounce back a bit. SNDK dropped from $73 to $70 (-4.1%) and we bought back in. It kept dropping, along with the rest of the market. SNDK has dropped 14.4% since peaking 10 days ago. That’s a major correction – almost equal to the GOOG correction. Except no-one is nervous about SanDisk’s numbers. It’s more a measure of the excitement the company is generating that it got a little ahead of itself. Analysts are looking for earnings to double from last quarter – THAT’S MORE THAN 3X LAST YEAR. That is essentially a P/E of 35. Meanwhile, I believe that Sandisk growth justifies a much higher valuation. Also, Sandisk has beaten expectations 4 quarters in a row and more. Earnings are scheduled for Thursday, Jan. 26.
Note: I'm calling this v2.0 to avoid confusion because we bought in again this week.
Grant Prideco (GRP): OPP 49.23, Friday close 49.87. Up 1.3% this week. Up 1.3% since purchase. I continue to like energy as a sector but only from the equipment standpoint. We have JOYG for coal extraction, MDR for oil platform construction & coal, and we added GRP for drill bits. I am sorry it took me so long to find GRP. Drill bits wear out and are critical for exploration. 2006 earnings are expected to grow 50% Y/Y, and the latest quarter should be closer to 100%+. But they have a forward P/E of 19. (And they have a long streak of beating expectations.) Earnings announcement is Feb 8th
Performance to Date (since inception Nov 3rd)
(Nov 3rd - Dow closed 10522, S&P closed 1219)
Broader market gain: 1.4% Dow, 3.4% S&P, 3.6% NASDAQ
LIVEROCKET gain: 18%
Performance Year to Date - Up 7.7%
(Dec 30th close- 10717 Dow, 1248 S&P, 2205 NASDAQ. LIVEROCKET VALUE $109,015)
Broader market gain: -0.5% Dow, 1% S&P, 2% NASDAQ
LIVEROCKET gain: 7.7%
Stock Performance Overview
(Note - does not include today's purchases)
Stock Growth >30% 1 out of 17
Stock growth >20% 3 out of 17
Stock Growth >10% 5 out of 17
Stock Growth 5%~10% 3 out of 17
Stock growth 0%~5% 3 out of 17
Stock growth <0%>
Week 11 Performance
Broader market gain/loss: -2.67% Dow (10667), -2.02% S&P (1261)
LIVEROCKET gain/loss: -1.05%
Stocks up for week: 2 out of 9
Weekly Performance Overview
LIVEROCKET beat Dow/S&P: 8 out of 11 weeks
Dow/S&P beat LIVEROCKET: 2 out of 11 weeks
LIVEROCKET tied Dow/S&P: 1 out of 11 weeks
Individual Investor Performance
Excluding today's buys, if you invested in these stocks and got in and out when I said, then you would have:
Generated >10%+ Returns in 11 weeks 53% OF THE TIME
Generated >20%+ Returns in 10 weeks 24% OF THE TIME
Made money 88% OF THE TIME
WEEK IN REVIEW
Who wasn’t a casualty Friday? Last week on the 12th I predicted “Oil prices to zip up.” I also said that, as a result, “stocks [will] show volatility and swing 3% in a day.” Well, they did. And then some. Although ‘only’ a 2% one-day drop, the DOW has actually fallen 4% in 2 weeks, erasing the gains. But here’s the point – the market showed a lot of resilience in the face of surging oil prices. It dropped 4% against a 12%+ oil price increase.
Focus on NASDAQ – tech stocks are up whereas DOW is flat for the last 12 months.
Also, JBLU and WFMI showed remarkable resilience. JBLU is especially intriguing. They should have dropped precipitously in the face of surging prices. But they dropped the same % as everyone else. The only thing keeping me from jumping in again is greedy desires of buying them closer to $12. I did this with GILD when I waited for them to hit $49 – I missed out on their subsequent ~17% growth because I wouldn’t spend the extra $1.
(Note: OPP = Original Purchase Price)
Seagate (STX): OPP 20.1, Friday close 25. Up 3.2% this week. Up 24%+ since purchase. Earnings were released and they were phenomenal. Sales up 24% and Earnings up 99%. More importantly, as I predicted last week, they are showing pricing strength: margins were up from 20% last year to 25% this year. THAT IS HUGE. They were probably the only company to release earnings that actually went up after.
Marvell Technology (MRVL): OPP 49, Friday close 62.4. Down 2.5% this week. Erased last week’s gains. Up 27% since purchase.
Sandisk v1.0 (SNDK): OPP 64.4, Stopped out at $71. We netted a 10.2% gain in just 2 weeks. This is v.1 because we bought back in
Akamai (AKAM): OPP 19.98, Friday close 22.7. Down 0.4% for the week. Up 14.2% since purchase. It keeps toying with $24 before easing up. Erased last week’s gains.
McDermott (MDR): OPP 42.7, Friday close 49.3. Down 0.9% for the week. Up 15.4% since purchase. MDR gave up very little ground, a good omen I hope.
Joy Global (JOYG): OPP 37.17, Friday close 45.11. Down 2.9% this week. Up 21.4% since purchase. Basically erased last week’s gains
JLG Industries (JLG): OPP 38, Friday close 50. Flat for the week. Up 32% since purchase.
Gilead (GILD): OPP 50, Friday close 57.6. Down ~3% this week. Basically erases last week’s gain. Up 15% since purchase.
NEW PURCHASES TODAY
Sandisk v2.0 (SNDK): OPP 70.02, Friday close $68.4. Down ~2.3% this week. Down 2.3% since purchase. After watching the carnage on Wall Street I thought the market would bounce back a bit. SNDK dropped from $73 to $70 (-4.1%) and we bought back in. It kept dropping, along with the rest of the market. SNDK has dropped 14.4% since peaking 10 days ago. That’s a major correction – almost equal to the GOOG correction. Except no-one is nervous about SanDisk’s numbers. It’s more a measure of the excitement the company is generating that it got a little ahead of itself. Analysts are looking for earnings to double from last quarter – THAT’S MORE THAN 3X LAST YEAR. That is essentially a P/E of 35. Meanwhile, I believe that Sandisk growth justifies a much higher valuation. Also, Sandisk has beaten expectations 4 quarters in a row and more. Earnings are scheduled for Thursday, Jan. 26.
Note: I'm calling this v2.0 to avoid confusion because we bought in again this week.
Grant Prideco (GRP): OPP 49.23, Friday close 49.87. Up 1.3% this week. Up 1.3% since purchase. I continue to like energy as a sector but only from the equipment standpoint. We have JOYG for coal extraction, MDR for oil platform construction & coal, and we added GRP for drill bits. I am sorry it took me so long to find GRP. Drill bits wear out and are critical for exploration. 2006 earnings are expected to grow 50% Y/Y, and the latest quarter should be closer to 100%+. But they have a forward P/E of 19. (And they have a long streak of beating expectations.) Earnings announcement is Feb 8th
posted by Andrew at
12:02 AM
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