Wednesday, July 05, 2006

TRID - Bad news continues

Downgraded today and dropped 17%
"San Francisco-based Thomas Weisel Partners downgraded Trident to "peer perform"' from "outperform" over concerns about increased competition"

In effect the stock dropped 17% on an expected 10% earnings drop. That's 50% in 3 months.

"The options-grant issue remains potentially expensive, time-consuming and will scare off some institutional investors, says Wedbush Morgan's Berger. But market trends in flat-screen TVs are the most important part of Trident's near-term story...."My response is, [if that happens], is that going to change how many TVs are people going to buy?" he says. "I don't think so."

So the question is - are TRID sales affected?
Because, at the revised and lowered valuation, TRID now has a 18 P/E. For a company still expected to grow 40%+.

We've seen how strong flat panel TV sales have been. We've seen how TRID has gained market share.
I am riding this out for now.

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

What is your comment on:
"The analyst's check of the television supply chain indicated that major tier 1 manufacturers are likely to move towards single-chip solutions in 2007, but are unlikely to adopt Trident's single chips in 2007 because the company won't start providing samples of its latest chips until the third quarter."?

10:46 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi Andrew,
The market for LCD TVs will be growing in coming years - and so will be the sales of Trident.

Although I have initiated a small position in high 15's - after the value of stock has been cut in half from 30's - I would like to get your expert opinion on how much more down side do you see for this stock. I am not an expert but I think it will stop going down somewhere around 12. I will be buying more if it goes down and plan to increase my position to 1000 shares. What do you think?

3:51 PM  

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