Tuesday, April 11, 2006

Diversification and me

Another sign of quality analysis aka closing the barn door after the horse is out.
CIBC said that Alcoa will Outperform. I wonder what tipped them off? The stellar earnings that came out yesterday?

So many analysts are sooooo useless.
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It has been pointed out to me that I am not very diversified in the LIVEROCKET model portfolio. And it's true: we are incredibly heavy in high tech and commodities.

It's like the famous saying: I rob banks because that's where the money is. I invest in sectors where the money is.

According to Valueline, the top performing industries for the past month are:
Steel - Nope
Oil services/equipment - yep (GRP, JLG, MDR, JOYG)
Power - nope
Paper - nope
Petroleum - nope
Electrical Equipment - not really

Instead of steel we have titanium, which has outperformed the 15% return by almsot 2x
Power - JLG is related and so is MDR (JLG for coal burning power plant equipment, MDR for uranium)
Paper/Electrical Equipment/Petroleum - nope
(Btw notice how commodities are so dominant)

On the plus side, we have avoided all of the bottom performing sectors.

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