Portfolio and Plan

It's been a few weeks since I posted the weekly portfolio updates

Let me start with dividends

AMX - $1.87 per share @150 shares = $280.50

PCP - $0.03 per share @ 100 shares = $30

Stocks we left or were STOPped out of had the following gains/losses

AMX 25%

ATW 46%

CLB -9%

DRYS -33%

FWLT 12%

HOLX 21%

NOV -10%

NUAN 12%

TIE -6%

The STOPs actually did not help because
1. I did not have the opportunity to focus enough to buy back in at the lower levels (the real point of having STOPs on stocks that you like)
2. Most of these stocks are up a LOT since then

So we continue to beat the broader market, but we should be doing better. And we will.

We have $95K in cash and this is the way I want to play things.

• $10K cash
• $10K risky stocks
• $75K in new investments
• Look to move out of IO and possibly IMA

The target stocks are

Fertilizer companies –
This is a fractured market with lots of potential for buyouts. AGU just made a major purchase and, as the largest North American fertilizer retailer, have just 15% market share. For the most part, the stocks move with the same amount of growth – exception being MOS.

• Target buys: CF & POT. I favor CF because it has almost no debt
• Runner-ups: MOS (a little ahead of itself), POT, TRA, AGU

Farm Equipment:

ARTW (a little ahead of itself) & AG

ENERGY
Petrodollars are still flowing.

Drillers – Cash rich, still growing.
ATW, RIG, DO are growing and ESV and NE are stalling. You could also consider CAM (driller suppliers) , IO (seismic exploration) and OII (deep sea exploration) as operators in similar markets.

• Targets: ATW & DO – almost no debt for ATW, strong growth, great margins

Infrastructure - This is a target rich environment. We will return to FWLT & NOV.

I am also looking at SGR and MDR because they have been beaten up. SGR in particular is interesting - the CEO sold 2/3s of his shares the last week, along with other executives. That sudden selling is tied to inability to sell due to problems filing Earnings statements. Or so they say.

MDR is unnaturally lagging its peers - which means catch up soon. Their technicals look mighty strong. They pulled back because of a revenue miss and because they are exposed to coal energy plants and an analyst said that the US is slowing coal power plants. MDR then turned around and landed a large coal power plant deal.

GLOBAL CELL PHONE
We have MICC. I am thinking of adding VIP

OTHER
WFR - They will be seeing large margin growth. Even if the Solar demand starts to slow, they still have semiconductors.
PCLN - I avoided travel stocks because I saw only a downturn among US consumers. What I missed was the international exposure that PCLN has. But it feels pricey....