Thursday, April 19, 2007

$35 Options and TIE

About 2 weeks ago I mentioned that there seemed to be a bizarre monthly ritual with TIE.
By options expiration day, TIE seems to hit the exact strike price of the majority of options.

This month, that popular strike price is $35. Options expire tomorrow and - wow! -TIE is almost exactly at $35. Of the total April Puts/Calls, 9,500 out of 17,600 are for a $35 strike price (6,000 are for $40 and $45).

Now, that may not seem strange considering that TIE lately has been bouncing between $31 and $37. A $35 strike price is the natural place for the bulk of options. I don't disagree. What I find remarkable is the way it seems to hit that number exactly and exactly on options expiration days.
Feb 16th $35.35
TIE then raced up to $38, only to fall back down
March 16th $33.47
TIE then raced up to $37, only to fall back down again to
April 19th ~$35

Based on this paranoia, I would expect TIE to run up starting next week.
Another interesting point: puts are moving up in favor over the next few months. The call/put ratio is asfollows: 3:1 April, 2.5:1 May, 1:1 June.

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you notice its same with TRID as well. TRID goes to 22.50 before expire date and then goes back to 19 to 20. this is happening since last 5 months.

4:14 PM  

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