Test portfolio
This is a portfolio based on proposed stock picks.
Assume $100K invested in $10K lumps as follows
BCSI - 200 shares at $50
PWR - 751 shares at $13.3
WFMI - 68 shares at $146 (expect BIG holiday buying)
GILD - 200 shares at $50
CERN - 114 shares at $88
MRVL - 200 shares at $49
JLG - 263 shares at $38
GYI - 114 shares at $88
JBLU - 540 shares at $18.5 (expect big holiday period)
DESC - 1150 shares at $8.5 (expect continuing forward sales acceleration)
Assume $100K invested in $10K lumps as follows
BCSI - 200 shares at $50
PWR - 751 shares at $13.3
WFMI - 68 shares at $146 (expect BIG holiday buying)
GILD - 200 shares at $50
CERN - 114 shares at $88
MRVL - 200 shares at $49
JLG - 263 shares at $38
GYI - 114 shares at $88
JBLU - 540 shares at $18.5 (expect big holiday period)
DESC - 1150 shares at $8.5 (expect continuing forward sales acceleration)
posted by Andrew at
9:37 AM
4 Comments:
Note: A paper folio of all your original picks using the same $10k allotment per, is basically flat. Good thing you didnt add BMHC ;-) But lets face it, the RE boom is dead, why try to time its dying gasp?
If JBLU is already always packed, how is holiday travel going to help? I agree that its a good stock, but I don't see holiday travel as giving it that big a boost.
Gilead Sciences is based in CA. Looks like they specialize in the very type of thing that prop 78/79 is battling over (biopharma / drug therapies), will be interesting to see how the voting results affect the biotech market.
I think Quanta and DESC are your best plays.
Agent Tokyo.
Agent Tokyo
Thanks much for the comments.
Jetblue can benefit from a holiday rush in a few ways
1. Additional flights - notice the recent announcement to buy more planes. Possibly for the holiday season - New York to Florida and Puerto Rico is very popular.
2. Prices - They can charge a bit more while making sure they are 100% filled
Either or both of these will boost revenues and margins.
I wouldn't be surprised if JetBlue buys some gates off Delta to broaden their reach, say, to Atlanta.
DESC is up ~15% already, despite a shaky market.
Agreed re real estate - shorting Home Depot and a few other construction high fliers will make sense. I would also look at shorting some mortgage related companies. Wonder if Coldwell bankers is public.
Except jetblue, all other (9) picks are pretty close to their 52-week high prices with very high P/Es. Also most of these have almost doubled during the past year. Isn't it too risky to have such a portfolio?
--kk
We use stop limits to manage the fluctuations. Why leave a stock early when it still has legs or when the market thinks still has legs? Stops cap the downside without capping the upside
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